In March 2022, Yoon Suk-yeol of the conservative People Power Party was elected as the new president of South Korea. Yoon will serve for the next five years, with his tenure starting in May. This article summarises the key points of his manifesto regarding real estate.
New housing supply to meet the demand: The pledge includes adding 2.5 million housing units nationwide over the next five years (1.3–1.5 million housing units in the Seoul Capital Area). The new party plans to offer development opportunities to private developers, besides granting tax benefits and relaxing regulations to some extent.
- The new administration aims to increase the supply volume by 20-30% (Refer to Figures 1 & 2). As roughly half of the Korean population resides in Seoul Capital Area (SCA), the upcoming residential supply will be concentrated in SCA.
Figure 1: Location and Composition of Seoul Capital Area (SCA) – Highlighted in Green
Source: JLL
SCA Includes Seoul, Gyeonggi Province and Incheon city
Figure 2: Breakdown of New Housing Supply – SCA and Other
Source: People Power Party Manifesto Handbook
Encouragement of redevelopment, reconstruction and remodelling:
Figure 3: New (Proposed) Weighting System for Safety Evaluation for Reconstruction
Source: People Power Party Manifesto Handbook
For reconstructions, the president-elect aims to reduce the weighting on ‘Structural Safety’ and instead increase the weighting on ‘Residential Environment’. Another pledge includes exempting safety evaluation for housing aged 30+ years. The new (proposed) weighting is a part of the plan to introduce sufficient residential supply.
Figure 4: Tax on Property as % of GDP
Source: OECD
Of the 38 OECD members, the 2020 figure for Australia is not yet published
Relaxation of taxes: In 2020, South Korea ranked second equal amongst developed countries (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) in the ratio of property tax to GDP, behind Canada (4.15%) and tying with France (3.976%). In an effort to lessen the tax burden on housing, the president-elect’s manifesto includes the relaxation of three major property taxes: 1) Real Estate Holding Tax, 2) Capital Gains Tax, and 3) Acquisition Tax.
The majority of real estate-related policies are confined to residential real estate. Other manifesto undertakings include but are not limited to increasing FAR, financial subsidies to developers, simplifying the construction permit approval process, restructuring leases and easing loan-to-value (LTV) ratio for first-time homebuyers. It would take some time to evaluate the possibilities and effectiveness of pursuing these pledges. However, the incoming president is likely to stabilise rapidly rising housing prices by providing abundant supply and easing regulations and taxes in accordance with market principles.
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